19 February 2026

Trading is where all our notions are against us

 I have been trading now for over a month and there is nothing yet to write home about.

Its been a roller coaster of emotions.

In trading - our notions and beliefs turn upside down.

The biggest of them which I am realizing is - hard work.

The more manical I get about my strategy, the more difficult it becomes.

The state of moving averages, news, index, stock specific news, RSI etc.

The more data points we include, the confusing it gets.

We are trying to tell ourselves that there is "this" data point that tells us what will happen.

We are searching for certainty. 

We hope that a combination of indicators, news can some how provide us with that edge.

But, unfortunately that is far from the truth.

Days where i have been certain on what a stock will do, it doesnt work 60% of the time.

It has worked, but not so well that you can say that the method or analysis is good.

Its a coin toss. 

If I didnt judge it and went in as is, there was still a high chance of the play working out, or failing.

and this is the hardest part.

We untangle the biggest challenges in front of us, by paying more attention to it.

Working hard on them, putting our mind on it.

But with trading, that may work against us.

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